Avalanche forecast

Salt River and Wyoming Ranges

Bridger-Teton Avalanche Center
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Avalanche danger

Sun
Alpine
3 · Considerable
Treeline
3 · Considerable
Below
2 · Moderate
Out of date — this forecast expired 2 years ago. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

Avalanche danger may rise to CONSIDERABLE today due to multiple days of warm, sunny weather. Triggering large wet slab avalanches is possible. Wet, slushy slopes should be avoided. Wet slab avalanches are complicated, don't go on or under steep slopes to avoid this problem.

Avalanche problems

  • Wet Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1.5–2.5

    Yesterday temperatures in the mountains were well above freezing. Overnight lows have not been cold enough to refreeze the snow for multiple days now. As snow melts and water begins moving its way through the snowpack, buried weak layers become destabilized. During a wet slab cycle you may see avalanches on layers that have been previously unreactive in the snowpack. At this point in spring the sun travels high enough in the sky that northerly slopes are impacted by solar warming midday. Wet loose avalanches may occur in isolated pockets of terrain on more northern aspects up high. Wet hazard forms and behaves very differently than the mid-winter dry slab avalanches we see through most of our season.

    Wet slabs avalanches are inherently challenging to forecast for. Today we have the big factors at work; thawing daytime temperatures, no overnight refreeze for multiple days, layering still present in the snowpack. Because these avalanches are difficult to predict, build large margins into your travel plan and be prepared to back off, and potentially out of the mountains, as the sun heats things up and gets water moving through the snow.

    Cornice Falls: The continued warm, sunny weather is destabilizing the large cornices that have built up over the season. It is possible to trigger failure by stepping out onto these features, or they may fail naturally. A big cornice fall has the potential to trigger a large, destructive avalanche on the buried weak layers that persist near the base of the snowpack. While this is unlikely, a recent natural slide on The Wedge demonstrates that this risk still exists.

    An example of what might be seen today in the Greys - This wet slab avalanche occurred earlier this season in the southern Tetons during a similar weather pattern.

    Photo: Bridger-Teton Avalanche Center

Avalanche Discussion

Continued warm, sunny weather is driving change in the snowpack. As mentioned above wet slab avalanches are challenging to predict. We have the right combination of weather and snowpack to see this hazard today. Folks traveling in the mountains today should choose terrain carefully and be prepared to head home if snow feels slushy. The wet slab problem is currently forecasted to exist in mid and upper elevations. We don’t expect to see this problem below 7,500 feet because the lower elevations don’t have all that much snow left. That doesn’t mean that wet snow avalanches are not possible below 7,500 feet where a deeper snowpack continues to linger. 

Tomorrow’s Outlook: Weather forecasts are showing mountain temperatures to mostly stay above freezing again tonight with continued warm weather tomorrow. For those folks planning early alpine starts Sunday, expect the wet slab hazard and note that water will still be working through the snowpack even if some cloud cover moves in.

Only a few days left - Help us improve avalanche forecasts! CLICK HERE to take an avalanche forecast survey and be entered into a prize drawing. The Colorado Avalanche Information Center, the Avalanche Research Program at Simon Fraser University, and the U.S. National Science Foundation National Center for Atmospheric Research are researching how skiers, snowmobilers, snowshoers, ice climbers, and anyone else who travels in the backcountry interpret avalanche forecast information. Part of this research includes a specific survey to better understand how useful avalanche forecast information is for trip planning. Thank you for sharing your feedback to help us improve avalanche hazard communication. 

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