Avalanche Forecast

Fair - Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain on Monday

Monday: clear conditions in the morning with light to moderate snowfall developing by mid-day and intensifying slightly overnight / moderate to strong southwest winds / freezing level at 1900m Tuesday: broken cloud / light to moderate westerly winds / freezing level at 1800m Wednesday: light snowfall / light to moderate southwest winds / freezing level at 1600m

A size 2 cornice fall was observed on Saturday on an east aspect at 2500m. It did not release an avalanche on the slope below. On Sunday, numerous wet loose avalanches to size 2 were observed on solar aspects.

Last week, very warm temperatures affected all but the highest north facing slopes. Since Thursday morning, mostly light to locally moderate amounts of new snow have fallen forming soft slabs on the resulting crust while rain has continued to penetrate and weaken the snowpack at lower elevations. Up to 80cm below the surface, you will find another crust in the alpine and at treeline that may have been reactive with warming throughout last week. The mid-February buried surface hoar layer is down about 200 cm, although avalanches releasing on this layer represent an extremely low probability-high consequence scenario. Cornices in the region are very large. With spring temperatures, these are more likely to become weak and fail. They could provide a large enough trigger to release deep layers on slopes below.