Avalanche Forecast
Regions: Lizard-Flathead.
Confidence
Moderate - Freezing levels are uncertain
Weather Forecast
THURSDAY: Cloudy with light afternoon flurries (4-8 cm), moderate southwest wind, freezing level around 2000 m.FRIDAY: Wet flurries increasing overnight (5-15 cm), moderate southwest wind, freezing level around 2000 m.SATURDAY: Clearing throughout the day, strong southwest wind, freezing level dropping to 1500 m.
Avalanche Summary
No new avalanches were reported on Wednesday. Several natural loose wet avalanches were observed in steep south-facing terrain on Tuesday. Increasing winds could build fresh wind slabs and warming may irritate cornices.
Snowpack Summary
The snowpack has entered a daily melt-freeze cycle. Hard crusts form overnight and become moist surface snow during the heat of the day. The exception is north-facing alpine terrain, where dry snow and isolated wind slabs may exist. The December facets and November rain crust are buried deep, but have not been reactive for a few weeks.
Avalanche Problems
Cornices
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.
Elevations: Alpine.
Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible
Expected Size: 2 - 2
Wind Slabs
Aspects: North, North East, East.
Elevations: Alpine.
Likelihood: Possible
Expected Size: 1 - 2