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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 20th, 2017–Jan 21st, 2017
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Jasper.

Cautious route finding and conservative terrain choices are required with the unpredictable snow conditions.

Weather Forecast

Generally boring weather forecast. Seasonal temperatures, slight cooling overnight, light winds and no precipitation.

Snowpack Summary

Active wind slabs in the ALP on N to E asps. At TL, soft slab and wind slabs in open areas over a faceted midpack to depth hoar. Nov crust in isolated areas; deeper, sheltered north aspects. Thin rain crust BTL on all aspects below 1600m.

Avalanche Summary

Natural avalanches observed in the alpine from broad, large, wind loaded features from size 2 to 3. One in particular observed in the Boundary area in the Parkers region.

Confidence

The weather pattern is stable

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Any loaded alpine features will be especially sensitive to human triggering.
If triggered the wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.Use caution in lee areas. Recent wind loading has created wind slabs.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 3

Deep Persistent Slabs

Isolated locations where this layer is persisting. Has morphed into depth hoar in many areas.
Use conservative route selection, choose moderate angled and supported terrain with low consequence.If triggered the storm slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 3