Avalanche Forecast
Regions: Jasper.
Weather Forecast
Thursday will be 1900m freezing level, light SW winds, none to possibly light flurries snow, and some sun. No significant snow is forecast for a few days. Temperatures are warming Thursday particularly on SW aspects if the sun comes out.Â
Snowpack Summary
up to 2100m a spotty Oct 17 crust exists 10cm up from ground. It maybe lower elevations on N aspects. Oct 31 crust is 10cm down from surface above 2000m. Above 2000m 30cm plus is expected yet distribution varies with aspect, elevation, and wind exposure. Treeline, alpine gully features, and some lee alpine slopes will be wind loaded.Â
Avalanche Summary
Steep SW slopes along Medicine lake up to 2500m releasing with solar on Wednesday starting as point release to ground. Some point releases initiated 10-15cm wide 30cm deep thin slab lower down. This was enough snow to entrain in features making them up to size 2. Small avalanches over rocky terrain, cliffs, or in terrain traps would be serious.
Confidence
Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain on Thursday
Avalanche Problems
Wind Slabs
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible
Expected Size: 1 - 2
Loose Dry
Aspects: North, North East, East.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible
Expected Size: 1 - 2