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Avalanche Forecast

Mar 11th, 2022–Mar 12th, 2022
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Cariboos.

5-15 cm of forecast snow and strong west winds on Friday night will form fresh wind slabs on lee features in open terrain.  

Avoid freshly wind loaded features, especially near ridge crests, roll-overs and in steep terrain.  

Confidence

Moderate - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain.

Weather Forecast

FRIDAY NIGHT: Snow; 5-15 cm / Strong west winds / Low of -8 / Freezing level valley bottom.

SATURDAY: Mix of sun and cloud / Light southwest wind / High of -2 / Freezing level 1400 m.

SUNDAY: Cloudy with isolated flurries; 0-3 cm / Light southwest wind / High of -1 / Freezing level 1400 m.

MONDAY: Cloudy with isolated flurries; 3-5 cm / Strong southwest wind / High of 1 / Freezing level 1700 m.

Avalanche Summary

A skier triggered size 1 wind slab was reported on Thursday.

Riders may get surprised by widely propagating storm slabs that are sitting on crusts and/or surface hoar.

Snowpack Summary

5-15 cm of forecast snow and strong west winds on Friday night will form fresh wind slabs on lee features in open terrain.

The new snow will be sitting on a variety of surfaces including hard wind affected snow, sun crusts on southerly slopes, and surface hoar on shady or sheltered slopes. Expect wind slabs to be most reactive where they are sitting on either a sun crust or surface hoar.

The lower snowpack is generally well-settled and strong in most areas, with prominent crust layers 50 to 100 cm deep. No recent persistent slab avalanches have been reported on these layers.

Terrain and Travel

  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Avoid freshly wind loaded features, especially near ridge crests, roll-overs and in steep terrain.
  • Potential for wide propagation exists, fresh slabs may rest on surface hoar, facets and/or crust.
  • Minimize your exposure time below cornices.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

5-15 cm of forecast snow and strong west winds on Friday night will form fresh wind slabs on lee features in open terrain.

Cornices are very large in many areas. Cornice failures may trigger large avalanches on the slopes below.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2