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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Dec 15th, 2020–Dec 16th, 2020
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Jasper.

Strong winds and falling snow throughout the day will create fresh wind slabs.

Weather Forecast

Parker Ridge Area

Wednesday: Mainly cloudy with isolated flurries. Precipitation: Trace. Alpine temperature: High -9 C. Ridge wind SW: 20 km/h gusting to 45 km/h.

Thursday: Cloudy with sunny periods and isolated flurries. Precipitation: Trace. Alpine temperature: Low -12 C, High -7 C. Ridge wind west: 10-30 km/h.

Snowpack Summary

Strong winds are creating wind slabs in the alpine and down into tree line. About 10cm of new snow, where not wind affected, is overlying surface hoar up to 2500m and widespread faced snow at all elevations. The snowpack is generally supportive despite facets and depth hoar at the base of the snowpack. The snowpack is 40-150cm.

Avalanche Summary

No patrol yesterday. On Monday natural avalanches (loose dry and wind slabs) up to sz 2 were observed from all elevations.

Confidence

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Forecasted light snow and moderate winds may form new slabs on leeward and cross-loaded terrain features. These slabs will probably not bond well to the current snow surface.

  • Be careful with wind loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.
  • Minimize overhead exposure during periods of heavy loading from new snow, wind.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Deep Persistent Slabs

Be cautious of thick to thin snowpack areas being likely trigger locations.

  • Use caution in thin snowpack areas.
  • If triggered the wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1.5 - 3