Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Feb 4th, 2023 4:00PM
The alpine rating is , the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems include Deep Persistent Slabs and Wind Slabs.
zryan,
Avalanche Canada
Reactive wind slabs may exist in wind-loaded terrain, but our primary concern rests with the potential for large deep persistent slab avalanches.
Conservative, low-consequence terrain selection continues to be your best defence.
Summary
Confidence
Low
Avalanche Summary
No new avalanches have been reported, but field information is very limited in this region.
We suspect recent storm snow and wind have created wind slabs in the alpine and treeline that may remain reactive to human triggering.
Our greatest concern lies with the potential for large natural and human-triggered deep persistent slabs. Your best defence is to stay diligent in choosing low-consequence terrain away from overhead exposure. See more on the potential of triggering deeper weak layers in our latest Forecasters' Blog.
Snowpack Summary
Stormy weather over the past week has brought 20 cm of new snow to the region. This new snow was accompanied by strong southerly winds that have stripped exposed windward areas and deposited pockets of wind slabs in lee areas. The recent storm snow sits on previously wind-affected snow. Below this, a melt-freeze crust is found on sun-exposed slopes and everywhere below 1600 m.
Several crust/facet/surface hoar layers exist in the upper and middle portions of the snowpack. The most concerning persistent weak layer is at the base of the snowpack from large and weak facets formed in November. This layer is widespread and most likely problematic in steep, rocky alpine terrain.
In general, the snowpack is weak and shallow in this area with an average snowpack depth of 100 cm at treeline.
Weather Summary
Saturday night
Cloudy with clear periods and isolated wet flurries. Alpine temperatures reach a low of -4 °C. Ridge wind southwest 30 to 70 km/h. Freezing level 1300 metres.
Sunday
Mainly cloudy with flurries, up to 3 cm accumulation. Alpine temperatures reach a high of -3 C. Ridge wind southwest 40-80 km/h. Freezing level rises to 1500 meters.
Monday
A mix of sun and cloud with light flurries. Alpine temperatures rise to -4 C. Ridge wind southwest 60-90 km/h. Freezing level rises to 1600 meters.
Tuesday
Cloudy with snowfall, up to 10 cm accumulation. Alpine temperatures drop to -6 C. Ridge wind west 10-30 km/h. Freezing level drops to 1000 meters.
More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.
Terrain and Travel Advice
- Be aware of the potential for large, destructive avalanches due to the presence of deeply buried weak layers.
- Avoid steep, rocky, and wind effected areas where triggering slabs is more likely.
- Use ridges or ribs to avoid areas of wind loaded snow.
- If triggered, wind slabs avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.
Problems
Deep Persistent Slabs
A layer of large and weak facets sits near the base of the snowpack. This layer is most prominent in upper treeline and alpine elevations. Wind slab avalanches could step down to this layer initiating very large avalanches. Riders are most likely to trigger an avalanche on this layer in steep, shallow terrain.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Wind Slabs
Recent storm snow and ongoing strong southwesterly winds are creating wind slabs in lee areas in the alpine and treeline. These slabs may remain reactive to human-triggering and have the potential to step down to deeply buried weak layers, resulting in large and consequential avalanches.
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, North West.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Feb 5th, 2023 4:00PM
