Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Feb 16th, 2019–Feb 17th, 2019

Alpine

3: Considerable

The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable

Treeline

3: Considerable

The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable

Below Treeline

3: Considerable

The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable

Alpine

3: Considerable

The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable

Treeline

3: Considerable

The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable

Below Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Alpine

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate

Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate

Below Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: South Rockies.

Recent snowfall may continue to be reactive to riders on Sunday. Use added caution at higher elevations where the wind has formed touchy deposits. Also use caution in openings below treeline such as cutblocks, where a buried weak layer may be touchy.

Confidence

Moderate - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain

Weather Forecast

SATURDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with snowfall, accumulation 1 to 5 cm, light to moderate north wind, alpine temperature -22 C.SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy with isolated snowfall, accumulation 1 to 3 cm, light to moderate northeast wind, alpine temperature -24 C.MONDAY: Mostly clear skies, light northwest wind, alpine temperature -16 C.TUESDAY: Mix of sun and cloud, light west wind, alpine temperature -14 C.

Avalanche Summary

Several wind slabs were triggered by skiers and explosives on Friday and Saturday. They were large (size 2), 20 to 40 cm deep, and in alpine terrain.

Snowpack Summary

Around 20 cm of snow fell Friday and Saturday, with a bit more expected on Sunday. The snow likely has slab properties where it fell with wind at higher elevations and could be loose in sheltered areas.The mid-January layer of surface hoar is buried around 50 to 80 cm. The surface hoar is found on shaded and sheltered slopes and is most prominent between 1600 m and 1900 m but has been found up to 2200 m.The middle of the snowpack is generally consolidated. The bottom half of the snowpack is unconsolidated and composed of weak and sugary faceted grains.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Around 20 cm of recent snow may be touchy. Use added caution in lee terrain features near ridges, as winds have formed deeper deposits. The wind was first from the west and more recently from the northeast, so all lee features are suspect.

Use caution in freshly wind-loaded features, especially near ridge crests and in steep terrain.If triggered, wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.Keep an eye out for reverse loading created by an upslope storm.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

A weak layer of surface hoar is buried around 50 to 80 cm, which is best preserved in shaded and sheltered areas between 1600 m and 1900 m.

Be aware of the potential for large avalanches due to the presence of buried surface hoar.Use added caution in open terrain features such as cutblocks, gullies, and cutbanks.Be aware of the potential for wide propagation.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Treeline, Below Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1.5 - 2.5