Avalanche Forecast

Moderate -

Significant warming in the forecast and next week looks very warm with freezing level above the summits. Don't let overnight cooling at low elevations fool you; very little cooling is expected at higher elevation.SATURDAY NIGHT: Clearing, alpine low temperature O to -5C, light southwest wind.SUNDAY: Sunny, with freezing level approaching 2200m, no overnight re-freeze expected. Light variable wind.MONDAY: Sunny with freezing level around 2500m, no overnight re-freeze expected. Light variable wind.TUESDAY: Sunny with freezing level around 2500m and alpine tempertures around +5C. Light variable wind.

On Thursday, a group of riders remotely triggered a size 1.5 persistent slab from 100 metres away. See the MIN report for more details. I view this as an important piece of data when considering the effect of forecast strong sunshine and warming.Friday's reports were of wet loose avalanches to size 2 and skier triggered wind slabs to size 1.5 which is consistent with previous days trend. Explosives work was targetted on cornices and results were generally size 2 without any surprising results.

The snow surface is getting moist on south and west slopes. Up to 40 cm of storm snow in the last week overlies various surfaces such as old and firm wind slabs in the alpine and open areas at treeline on all aspects. A widespread sun/ temperature crust is also found hidden under this new snow on south facing slopes. Isolated pockets of surface hoar crystals were observed at the surface on north-facing slopes around 2000m right before the last storm rolled in. The mid-snowpack consists of sugary faceted grains (facets) of different hardness. Two older layers of surface hoar still exist down 55-80 and down 95-150 around 1600-1900m. See Avalanche Activity section below for why this is relevant!