Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Mar 2nd, 2019 4:47PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

cgarritty, Avalanche Canada

Cariboos.

Be mindful of the persistent slab problem lingering at lower elevations as you search for snow that has been sheltered from recent winds.

Summary

Confidence

High -

Weather Forecast

Saturday night: Clear. Light east winds. Sunday: Sunny. Light northeast winds. Alpine high temperatures around -16.Monday: Sunny. Light northeast winds. Alpine high temperatures around -11.Tuesday: Sunny. Light east winds. Alpine high temperatures around -9.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches were reported on Wednesday.Avalanche activity on the mid-January weak layer described in our snowpack summary has seen a steady decline, however snowpack tests continue to show strong potential for reactivity at this layer, especially below treeline. This shows persistent slab avalanches are still possible for a skier or rider to trigger in specific locations. The consequences for doing so remain high.

Snowpack Summary

Recent moderate to strong northerly ridgetop winds have created wind slabs on lee features at treeline and above. Below this wind affected layer, older buried wind slabs exist on a variety of aspects. These remain a concern for overlying facets (weak, sugary snow), causing them to remain reactive for longer than is typical for a wind slab problem.A weak layer that was buried in mid January is down 50-60 cm and is especially prominent below treeline. This layer consists of surface hoar (weak, feathery crystals) and facets, and may be combined with a crust on south facing slopes. Avalanche activity on this layer has been on the decline, but snowpack test results continue to indicate this layer may still be possible to human trigger in specific locations. It has been most reactive in sheltered openings at lower treeline elevations and below.The lower snowpack is generally considered to be strong, except for shallow, rocky areas where cold temperatures continue to facet (weaken) the snowpack.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Recently formed wind slabs can be found on all aspects, but especially to the lee of recent northeast winds. Below them, hard, buried wind slabs on all aspects have shown prolonged reactivity due to the weak, faceted snow they sit above.

Avoid slopes that sound hollow or drum-like.Avoid wind loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.Steep and rocky terrain are likely places to trigger buried wind slabs.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

50-60 cm of snow sits above a persistent weak layer of surface hoar (weak, feathery crystals) that was buried in mid-January. This layer has evolved into a low likelihood, high consequence avalanche problem that is most prominent at lower elevations

Avoid steep, open and/or sparsely treed slopes at and below treeline.Use conservative route selection, choose moderate angled terrain with low consequence.Avoid low elevation cut-blocks where this layer is well preserved.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Treeline, Below Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

1.5 - 2.5

Valid until: Mar 3rd, 2019 2:00PM