Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Dec 11th, 2016 4:34PM
The alpine rating is Wind Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeSummary
Confidence
Moderate - Due to the number of field observations on Sunday
Weather Forecast
Dry conditions with a mix of sun and cloud is expected for Monday. Treeline temperatures are expected to be around -15C and alpine winds are forecast to be light to moderate from the northwest. On Tuesday and Wednesday, sunny and dry conditions are expected. Treeline temperature are forecast to remain around -15C and alpine winds are generally expected to remain light to moderate from the northwest.
Avalanche Summary
On Saturday, explosives and ski cutting triggered a few soft slabs avalanches and lots of loose activity in steep terrain features. The slabs were typically 10-30cm thick. On Friday, ski cutting was producing size 1 loose avalanches in wind loaded terrain features. On Monday, lingering wind slabs are expected to be the primary concern in wind exposed terrain.
Snowpack Summary
Around 15-25cm of new snow over the weekend has buried the surface hoar layer that formed last week. The surface hoar appears to have typically been 3-10mm in size. Widespread faceting of the old snow surface was also reported prior to the snowfall. The new snow is expected to bond poorly to the old interface but is reported to be low density and appears to only be a concern in wind loaded features at the moment. If winds persist on Monday, additional wind transport and wind slab formation is possible. The lower snowpack is settled and strong. A widespread crust that was buried in November is typically down 80-100cm. Recent tests show the layer is unreactive but cold temperatures have promoted facet growth around the crust and this layer could become a problem in the future.
Problems
Wind Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Dec 12th, 2016 2:00PM