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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Mar 7th, 2016–Mar 8th, 2016
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
A couple close calls recently with avalanches failing on the mid-pack facets highlight the need to use caution in steep terrain. There is some great skiing to be had above treeline but stick to moderate angled terrain with low consequences.

Weather Forecast

A cooling trend is expected to continue over the next two days with light West winds and occasional light flurries. The freezing level is expected to be around the surface overnight, rising to 1600m during the day.

Snowpack Summary

5-10 cm of new snow Monday, becoming moist below 1700m. Buried sun crusts on solar aspects. Recent moderate West winds have formed wind slabs in lee areas of the alpine. A firm upper snow pack sits over a generally weak mid-pack of facets and depth hoar. In shallow areas snowpack tests results are typically collapses near the ground.

Avalanche Summary

Monday a skier accidental size 2.5 on the Collie Glacier, at 2600m, approaching the Richard and Louise Guy Hut from Mt Collie. The avalanche failed on the Jan 6th mid-pack facets and was triggered when crossing below a steep rocky slope in poor visibility. 2 partial burials with minor injuries. Sunday a skier accidental size 2.5 near Bow Summit.

Confidence

Due to the number and quality of field observations

Avalanche Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

The mid-pack facets remain weak, especially in thin or rocky areas. Avoid steep or unsupported terrain, and watch for signs of instability such as whumphing and cracking. This weakness will be present for some time.
Be aware of thin areas that may propogate to deeper instabilites.Caution around convexities or areas with a thin or variable snowpack.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 3

Wind Slabs

Recent W winds and new snow have created wind slabs in leeward ares near ridge crests. Pay attention to the snow surface conditions while touring - you can usually detect wind slabs easily and avoid these spots.
If triggered the storm/wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.Be careful with wind loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.

Aspects: North, North East, East.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Loose Wet

Daytime heating may cause loose wet avalanches at lower elevations. This activity will increase when the sun comes out during the next few days. Minimize your exposure to steep solar aspects when things heat up.
Travel early before the heat of the day, and avoid big slopes in the afternoon.

Aspects: North, North East, East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2