Avalanche Forecast

Moderate - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain

FRIDAY: Cloudy with snowfall, accumulation 5 to 15 cm, strong southwesterly winds, alpine temperature -12 C, freezing level below valley bottom.SATURDAY: Cloudy with early-morning snowfall then clearing to mostly sunny, light northwesterly winds, alpine temperature -12 C, freezing level near 600 m.SUNDAY: Cloudy with early-morning snowfall, accumulation 10-15 cm, moderate to strong westerly winds, alpine temperature -13 C, freezing level near 600 m.

Cornices were explosively controlled on Wednesday, producing small to large releases (size 1 to 2.5). Expect natural and human-triggered avalanche activity to increase with the incoming storms.

New storm snow will fall on highly variable and wind-affected snow surfaces. In exposed terrain, new snow will fall on scoured north facing slopes and wind-loaded south facing slopes. In sheltered terrain, new snow will fall on last weekends storm snow. The new snow may not bond well to these surfaces and could be reactive to both natural and human triggers.Deeper in the snowpack, a crust layer can be found on sun-exposed slopes below 1900 m, which allowed for slab avalanches to propagate widely over the past week.Even deeper, avalanche professionals are still monitoring the mid-January crust. This layer is now 150-200 cm deep, but a heavy trigger (such as a cornice fall) or the next major storm (loading and/or warming) could wake this layer up.