Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Mar 20th, 2021 4:00PM
The alpine rating is , the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems include Persistent Slabs and Cornices.
Tereza Turecka,
With cooling trend and small amounts of precipitation in the forecast we are facing generally safe avalanche conditions.Be mindful of the potential for low probability high consequence scenario.
Summary
Weather Forecast
Sunday: Mainly cloudy with scattered flurries. Accumulation: 4 cm. Alpine temperature: High -6 °C. Mostly light ridge wind occasionally gusting to 30 km/h. Freezing level: 1600 metres.Monday: Flurries. Accumulation: 8 cm. Alpine temperature: Low -9 °C, High -8 °C. Ridge wind light to 20 km/h. Freezing level at valley bottom.
Snowpack Summary
Up to 10cm of new snow creating thin slabs in ALP lees. Warm temps and high solar input have created sun crust on solar aspects TL and below. Snowpack becoming isothermal 1700m and below on all aspects. Generally strong mid-pack with exception in shallow areas.
Avalanche Summary
No new avalanche activity observed or reported today, however, there have been reports of sporadic large avalanches in isolated ALP features in the last couple weeks. These slides are believed to be triggered by large cornice failures and ran in heavily wind loaded features with wide propagation. Beware of low probability, high consequence scenario
Confidence
The weather pattern is stable
Problems
Persistent Slabs
More activity noted at this layer, mostly initiated by large loads (cornices) in steep terrain.
- Watch for moist surface snow over crust on steeper solar aspects.
- Consider that avalanches may run further than expected as they entrain this loose surface snow.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Cornices
Cornices can be extremely destructive alone or, may initiate deeper layers in the snowpack below.
- Pay attention to overhead hazards like cornices which could easily trigger persistent slabs.
- Cornices become weak with daytime heating, so travel early on exposed slopes.
Aspects: North, North East, East, North West.
Elevations: Alpine.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Mar 21st, 2021 4:00PM
