Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Nov 16th, 2021 4:52PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs, Storm Slabs and Loose Dry.

Timothy Johnson,

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Large avalanches have been occurring near ridge top.

The Icefields Parkway will be open in the morning from Jasper to Parker Ridge Parking Lot. The rest of the highway will remain closed until later in the afternoon. Check AB511 for updates.

Summary

Weather Forecast

Wednesday: Cloudy with sunny periods.

Alpine temperature: -12 C.

Ridge wind southwest: 10 km/h.

Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud.

Alpine temperature: Low -13 C, High -10 C.

Ridge wind southwest: 10 km/h.

Friday: Cloudy with sunny periods and isolated flurries.

Precipitation: Trace.

Alpine temperature: Low -15 C, High -9 C.

Ridge wind west: 10-30 km/h.

Snowpack Summary

Around 60cm of new snow at Parker Ridge in the past couple of days. Moderate to strong SW winds are building wind slabs in the alpine and exposed treeline. This new storm snow is sitting on a variable snowpack depending on aspect and elevation with a melt freeze crust up to around 2500m, weak faceted snow near the ground and old melt freeze crusts

Avalanche Summary

In the Parker Ridge area on Tuesday there were several avalanches near ridge top in a "thin to thick" snowpack and rocky terrain where wind had firmed up the new snow. These avalanches stepped down to ground. A large avalanche was caused by explosives in a similar terrain feature propagating over 800m wide.

Confidence

Due to the number and quality of field observations

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Recent large avalanches were observed near ridge top where new snow was impacted by the wind.

  • Use caution in lee areas. Recent wind loading have created wind slabs.
  • Keep an eye out for reverse loading created by N-NE winds.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 3

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs

Storm slabs are settling down but use caution and dig down to test the snow before committing to a slope.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Loose Dry

An icon showing Loose Dry

Even small avalanches in exposed terrain can have high consequences.

  • Be careful of loose dry power sluffing in steep, confined or exposed terrain.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 1.5

Valid until: Nov 17th, 2021 4:00PM