Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 12th, 2016 8:20AM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Storm Slabs and Cornices.

Avalanche Canada triley, Avalanche Canada

New storm slabs continue to develop in the alpine and at treeline. Watch for conditions that change with elevation.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain

Weather Forecast

Expect 10-15 cm of new snow overnight combined with moderate southwest winds and freezing levels dropping down to about 800 metres. Saturday should remain cool with freezing levels below 1000 metres, with light precipitation and moderate southerly winds. Warmer air is forecast for Sunday bringing freezing levels back up to about 1500 metres combined with 5-10 cm of snow and moderate westerly winds. Monday is the warmest and wettest day, precipitation amounts have dropped over the last few model runs, but expect 20-40 mm with strong winds and high freezing levels.

Avalanche Summary

Cornices and storm slabs were released with explosives on Friday up to size 2.0 within the new storm snow in the Whistler area.

Snowpack Summary

Moist snow up to 1800 metres combined with strong winds on Friday, created moist slabs at treeline and storm slabs in the alpine. Variable new crusts formed in the alpine and at treeline on Thursday. Supportive crusts on solar aspects resulted in corn skiing in some areas on Wednesday. Breakable crusts were reported from Northerly aspects on Tuesday. Up to 30 cm of moist snow below crust on all but north aspects. Cornices are also reported to be huge and collapse has become more likely with additional loading and high freezing levels. About 50-90cm below the surface, you'll likely find a rain crust which formed on January 28th. This crust is widespread and exists up to about 2100m. Where it still exists, the mid-January surface hoar layer may be found between 130 and 200 cm below the surface. The combination of warm temperatures and subsequent gradual cooling is making avalanches failing on these deeper layers unlikely.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs
New storm slabs continue to develop with each pulse of wind and precipitation. Gradual cooling overnight should drop the rain/snow line down to near valley bottoms.
Avoid freshly wind loaded features.>Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 3

Cornices

An icon showing Cornices
Continued loading from new snow and wind may result in cornices falling off naturally, or being triggered easily by people traveling nearby.
Extra caution needed around cornices with current conditions.>Pay attention to overhead hazards like cornices.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South, South West.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 4

Valid until: Feb 13th, 2016 2:00PM