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Avalanche Forecast

Dec 4th, 2011–Dec 5th, 2011
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Sea To Sky.

Confidence

Fair - Freezing levels are uncertain

Weather Forecast

High pressure is currently dominating the weather throughout the province. Freezing levels rocket to 3000m as an inversion creeps into the region & winds at ridge top are forecasted to be light out of the NW. No precipitation is expected Monday.A weak disturbance moves into the area Tuesday night continuing through Wednesday bringing a small amount of precipitation & lowering freezing levels. The dreaded ridge of high pressure builds back into the area on Thursday.

Avalanche Summary

Avalanche activity has tapered off throughout the week. Although the likelihood of triggering avalanches is lower, the potential consequences are still very high.Likelihood of avalanches may increase on steeper, sun exposed slopes with forecast rising temperatures.

Snowpack Summary

Moderate to strong winds from different directions have hit the region over the past 2 days. As a result pockets of windslab may still be lingering on various aspects at treeline and in the alpine. Deeper in the snowpack we are dealing with a complex and somewhat unusual snowpack for the South Coast. Around Whistler there are persistent weak layers deep in the snowpack including a layer of depth hoar right near the base of the snowpack and at least two distinct crust/facet combinations between 50-100cm above the ground. Recent storms have dumped up to 200cm of snow on top of the weak underlying snowpack. Time has allowed the overlying snow to gain strength making it less likely to trigger the deeper weaknesses, but if you do hit the sweet spot the resulting avalanche could have very serious consequences. The greatest concern is with complex, rocky slopes above 1900m that have not recently avalanched.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Gusty winds have redistributed surface snow creating pockets of wind slab on a variety of aspects. Above freezing temps will likely make wind slabs a bit easier to trigger on steep sun exposed slopes.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 3

Persistent Slabs

This weakness is getting harder to trigger, but has not gone away. The right trigger (big air onto steep unsupported slope, sled track trenching deep) could have disastrous consequences. Avoid thin-rocky areas where triggering is more likely.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 5