Avalanche Forecast
Regions: Sea To Sky.
Confidence
Fair - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain
Weather Forecast
A warm front will bring precipitation to the south coast on Wednesday night and Thursday. Unsettled conditions are expected for Friday before the next system reaches the coast on Saturday.Wednesday Night: Precipitation: 8-12mm, freezing level: 1600m, ridgetop wind: light SWThursday: Precipitation 10-15mm, freezing level: 1400m, ridgetop wind: moderate SWFriday: A mix of sun and cloud, light scattered flurries possible, freezing level: 1200m, ridgetop wind: light SW-NWSaturday: Precipitation 5-10mm, freezing level: 1400m, ridgetop wind: moderate-strong SW
Avalanche Summary
No new avalanches have been reported. Cooler temperatures and good overnight recovery over the last few days have improved stability. Expect increased avalanche activity with warming temperatures, new snowfall, and moderate to strong winds.
Snowpack Summary
The new snow sits on a melt-freeze crust which exists on all aspects up to 2000m and to mountain-top on sun-exposed slopes. The recent warmer temperatures have helped to strengthen and settle the upper snowpack. Large sagging cornices are looming over slopes and pose a threat, especially when the sun comes out. The deep and destructive early February facet/crust layer is now close to 200 cm below the surface. This layer is largely dormant at this time; however, it should remain on your radar, especially when freezing levels are high and the sun is shining.
Avalanche Problems
Storm Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Possible - Likely
Expected Size: 1 - 3
Loose Wet
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine.
Likelihood: Possible
Expected Size: 1 - 3
Cornices
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.
Elevations: Alpine.
Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible
Expected Size: 1 - 4