Avalanche Forecast

Fair - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather is uncertain for the entire period

The timing and intensity of a series of fronts affecting the area is uncertain. The general picture is for the rest of the week to be stormy.Wednesday: Cloudy, with snow developing in the morning and continuing overnight. Freezing level around 1000m. Moderate to strong south-westerly winds. Thursday: Heavy snow. Moderate to strong south-easterly winds. Freezing level around 1500m.Friday: More snow. Freezing level falling to around 1000m.

It's been an active week for avalanche activity and the cycle is expected to continue. On Monday, a skier was partially buried and two others escaped a size 2 slab on an east aspect at 1500m, which failed on a crust. Natural and skier-remote triggered avalanches to size 3 were also observed on a variety of aspects and elevations, some failing on the mid-February weakness. Crowns were up to 150cm deep. Every day of the last week, avalanches have been triggered either naturally, remotely or accidentally by backcountry travellers. Conditions are not expected to improve quickly.

Stormy conditions are creating ever-deeper wind slabs and storm slabs. The upper snowpack is like a club sandwich with layers of new wind slab, storm snow layers of variable density, old moist snow and hard old wind slabs. Storm slabs or wind slabs may step down and trigger a deep weakness, formed in mid-February. On Monday, reports of avalanches failing on this layer naturally and with a remote trigger started coming in. Very large avalanches are possible, which could be remote-triggered, triggered mid-slope, and/or propagate into low-angled terrain.