Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Apr 20th, 2018–Apr 21st, 2018

Alpine

3: Considerable

The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable

Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate

Below Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Alpine

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate

Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate

Below Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Alpine

3: Considerable

The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable

Treeline

3: Considerable

The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable

Below Treeline

3: Considerable

The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable

Regions: Jasper.

Avoid all slope with cornices overhead as there is recent evidence of them falling recently. This is considered a large trigger on the slope below.

Weather Forecast

Saturday will be cloudy, sun and flurries, 5cm of snow, -2 C, West winds 25-50km/hr, and freezing level 1900m. Sunday will be a mix of sun and cloud, -10 to -5, West winds 15-45km/hr, and freezing level 1600m. Monday will be sun and cloud, no precipitation,Â -9 to plus 1 C, light winds, and 2400m freezing level.

Snowpack Summary

Windslabs are up to 40cm deep. Sun or temperature crusts extend to treeline and continued into the alpine on southerly slopes. Persistent slabs can be found on most aspects at treeline and above. These have been most reactive recently to large triggers like cornice failures. Below 1,900m the snowpack is isothermal.

Avalanche Summary

No patrol Friday. In the past 48hrs persistent slab avalanches up to size 3.5 have occurred from alpine terrain. They are size 2-2.5 and are are being triggered by cornice failures or small windslab avalanches stepping down to these deeper layers. With freezing levels reaching treeline expect some loose avalanches on South to West facing slopes.

Confidence

Freezing levels are uncertain

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Although mostly thin some wind slabs are up to 40cm thick in alpine terrain. Solar radiation and cornice collapses can trigger these events. Once triggered the potential to trigger deeper weaknesses exists resulting in larger avalanches.

Use caution in lee areas. Recent wind loading has created wind slabs.Use caution on open slopes and convex rolls

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Loose Wet

Pay close attention to the effect of solar radiation and daytime warming. Point release from rocks and cliff terrain can trigger isothermal snow below. This will be of most concern in the late afternoon.

Avoid terrain traps, such as gullies, where the consequences of a small avalanche could be serious.Use extra caution on solar slopes or if the snow is moist or wet.

Aspects: North, North East, East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

These events require a significant force to trigger them such as a large cornice failure or avalanche debris from above. Once triggered they can be very large and run far into the valley below. Many slopes have already been triggered.

Pay attention to overhead hazards like cornices which could easily trigger deep slabs.Avoid shallow snowpack areas where triggering is more likely.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 3.5