Avalog Join
Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Feb 9th, 2019–Feb 10th, 2019
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Jasper.

Human triggering remains possible. A thick supportive mid-pack is critical to safe travel. Shallow snowpack areas are more prone to trigger. Ice climbers must be vigilant for loose dry avalanches in gullies.

Weather Forecast

Sunday will be cloudy, no precipitation, alpine temperatures high -11 C, and light ridge winds. Sunday will be mix of sun and cloud with isolated flurries, alpine temperature low -22 C and high -14 C with light ridge winds. A detailed mountain weather forecast is available from Avalanche Canada.

Snowpack Summary

50cm from Feb 2nd was followed by strong Northerly winds and cold temperatures. This snow overlies a dormant but persistent weaknesses of surface hoar, crusts, and/or facets. Cold temps have weakened the structure of the slab over this layer and it lays dormant, for now. A deep persistent basal facet/depth hoar weakness exists in shallow areas.

Avalanche Summary

A recent natural slab avalanche (Sz 2.5) was observed on a NW aspect, 2400m above Maligne Lake.  On Feb 7th, 3 people were involved in a sz 2 in the Maligne area. The slide was triggered in the basal weakness while traveling through the trees on a W aspect, 1950m, on a 30 degree slope. One member was fully buried and recovered by their partners.

Confidence

Avalanche Problems

Loose Dry

Expect sluffing out of steep rocky terrain. Cold temperatures continue to loosen the surface snow to the point where it looses structure and avalanches as a point release. They can pick up enough mass to be a concern.
Be cautious with gully features.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 1.5

Deep Persistent Slabs

Just a reminder, this is still present and can still be triggered from shallow snowpack areas. See avalanche activity summary.
Be cautious in shallow snowpack areas where triggering is more likely.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1.5 - 3.5