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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Feb 16th, 2025–Feb 17th, 2025
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Continue to make conservative terrain choices while the storm snow settles and stabilizes.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On Saturday, skiers reported whumpfing and cracking (which are signs of an unstable snowpack) in the Mt. Cokely area.

On Thursday, a small (size 1) remote-triggered avalanche was reported on a north aspect at treeline. A few larger but older avalanches were also described. See the MIN report here.

If you are heading into the backcountry, consider posting a MIN.

Snowpack Summary

15 to 30 cm of new snow is covering a variety of surfaces including old wind-affected snow, facets or surface hoar in sheltered areas, or a hard crust on sunny slopes. At upper elevations, moderate southwesterly winds may be blowing the storm snow into fresh wind slabs on lee slopes. A widespread crust, sometimes accompanied by a thin layer of weak facets, is buried 30 to 70 cm beneath predominantly low-density snow. There is some concern for storm slabs potentially stepping down to this weak layer. Otherwise, the mid and lower snowpack contains no other layers of concern.

Weather Summary

Sunday Night

Cloudy with 0 to 7 cm of snow. 25 to 35 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -1 °C. Freezing level around 1000 m.

Monday

Cloudy with 0 to 2 cm of snow / light rain. 5 to 10 km/h variable ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 0 °C. Freezing level rising to 1400 m.

Tuesday

Cloudy with 0 to 4 cm of snow. 30 to 50 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -1 °C. Freezing level around 1100 m.

Wednesday

Cloudy with 15 to 30 cm of snow. 70 to 80 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 0 °C. Freezing level around 1300 m

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Keep your guard up as storm slabs may remain sensitive to human triggering.
  • Back off if you encounter whumpfing, hollow sounds, or shooting cracks.
  • Be especially cautious as you transition into wind-affected terrain.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm slabs will be most reactive in steep wind-loaded areas such as near ridgecrests and rollovers. In isolated cases, slabs could step down to a deeper buried weak layer, resulting in large avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2