Avalanche Forecast

Fair - Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain

Mostly clear skies are expected for Sunday and Monday. Freezing levels are expected to reach 3300m with moderate alpine winds from the southwest.

No new avalanches have been reported from the region. This may speak more to the lack of professional observers at this time rather than actual conditions. I would expect wet natural avalanche activity on Sunday and Monday resulting from forecast rising freezing levels and solar input.

Recently formed windslabs have most likely settled and gained considerable strength with the warm temperatures on Saturday, and in some places transitioned into wet slabs. Below this, spring weather has left us with wet grains or melt-freeze crusts at treeline and above while warm temperatures have continued to penetrate and weaken the isothermal snowpack at lower elevations. The mid-February buried surface hoar layer is down about 140-220 cm. The likelihood of avalanches failing on this layer has been very low due to cooler temperatures, however it may wake up with warming and the consequence continues to be very large destructive avalanches. Cornices in the region are very large and have may become weak with spring temperatures.