Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Mar 28th, 2020 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Storm Slabs.

Avalanche Canada astclair, Avalanche Canada

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New snow and strong winds are creating dangerous avalanche conditions. This is the final forecast for the season.

Summary

Confidence

Low - Uncertainty is due to limitations in the field data.

Weather Forecast

Saturday night: Cloudy, 10-20 cm of new snow, strong southwest wind, freezing level dropping to 1000 m in the afternoon, alpine temperatures reach -4 C.

Sunday: Cloudy, 5-15 cm of new snow, moderate southwest wind, freezing level near 1000 m, alpine temperatures reach -6 C.

Monday: Cloudy, 20-30 cm of new snow, strong southwest wind, freezing level climbing to 1000 m in the afternoon, alpine temperatures reach -4 C.

Tuesday: Mostly cloudy, 5-15 cm of new snow, light southwest wind, freezing level climbing to 1000 m in the afternoon, alpine temperatures reach -4 C.

Avalanche Summary

Slab avalanches are a concern on slopes with accumulations of new snow, especially in wind-loaded terrain. Mountain travel and field observations over the past week have been very limited. Little is known about recent avalanche activity. 

Snowpack Summary

New snow and strong southwest wind are building widespread, reactive storm slabs and creating dangerous avalanche conditions. 

Incremental snowfall over the past week covers a variety of previous snow surfaces including crusts, warm snow, and wind-affected snow. There is some uncertainty about how well the new snow will bond to these interfaces. 

The snowpack is generally strong and settled, with the exception of some areas in the eastern and northern parts of the region that have weak faceted snow near the base of the snowpack. However, this layer is considered dormant and has not produced an avalanche since February 20.

Terrain and Travel

  • Storm snow and wind is forming touchy slabs. Use caution in lee areas in the alpine and treeline.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs

New snow and strong southwest wind are building widespread, reactive storm slabs. There is uncertainty about how well these slabs will bond to underlying interfaces.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1.5 - 2.5

Valid until: Mar 29th, 2020 5:00PM

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