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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 20th, 2024–Jan 21st, 2024
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Be cautious as you transition into areas where the surface snow has slab properties.

Wind slabs remain reactive to human triggering.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On Friday, explosive avalanche control generally produced size 1 to 2 wind slabs, with one step down avalanche that was size 2.5 on a north aspect at treeline.

Multiple human triggered wind slabs in the alpine and treeline in variably wind affected terrain were reported on both Thursday and Friday. Many of these avalanches have been on west aspects.

Snowpack Summary

30 to 50 cm of recent snow from the last two storms has buried a variety of snow surfaces. It sits above unconsolidated faceted snow, surface hoar and firm wind-pressed snow in open terrain at treeline and above.

Down 60 to 80 cm, a crust, facet and or surface hoar layer exists. This may become a problem once the snow above starts to stiffen and form a slab.

130+ cm down another surface hoar layer exists that was buried in early December. This layer is of most concern above 2000 m where a robust crust doesn't exist above it.

Weak basal facets are likely to be found on the ground in shallow snowpack areas.

Weather Summary

Saturday Night

Cloudy with up to 3 cm of snow, alpine wind south 20-40 km/h, treeline temperature -5 C.

Sunday

Cloudy with up to 3 cm of snow, alpine wind south 10-30 km/h, treeline temperature -2 C.

Monday

Cloudy with up to 2 cm of snow, alpine wind south 10-30 km/h, treeline temperature 0 °C.

Tuesday

Cloudy with up to 5 cm of snow, alpine wind south 10-30 km/h, treeline temperature -8 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Be especially cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • If triggered, wind slabs avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

New wind slabs are resting on faceted snow from the previous cold weather and may be more reactive and slower to bond.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

60-90 cm of snow sits above a crust and surface hoar which has produced natural, remote and rider-triggered avalanches in the past week.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Treeline, Below Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1.5 - 2.5