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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Mar 17th, 2013–Mar 18th, 2013
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
The new storm snow today has added to the touchy avalanche conditions at and above treeline. Conservative terrain choice is still required. Below  treeline the colder temps will freeze the wet snow and lower the danger.

Weather Forecast

A short lived ridge Tuesday will be followed by a progressive pattern with some precipitation, strong westerlies  and moderate temps

Snowpack Summary

Another 10-35cm of storm snow fell with the passing of the arctic air bringing the total this week to near 60 in most alpine areas. Large cornices and storm slabs exist at treeline and above with touchy slabs. Below treeline, the rain line was at nearly 2000 metres, and the snow is still wet below a weak crust that will freeze with cold temps.

Avalanche Summary

A widespread avalanche cycle has been occurring over the last few days. Slabs have been observed to size three failing both with cornice fall, wind and wet conditions. Avalanche control today produced some deep slabs and large cornice falls with several size three avalanches with crowns over 1M thick.

Confidence

Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain on Tuesday

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

Recent storm snow has created a touchy slab condition in all open areas. Easy triggering of slabs is expected.
Use careful route-finding and stick to moderate slope angles with low consequencesChoose conservative lines and watch for clues of instability.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South, South West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 3

Cornices

Cornices are very large and unstable due to recent loading and high humidity. Natural and human triggering is likely
Do not travel on slopes that are exposed to cornices overhead.Give cornices a wide berth when travelling on or below ridges.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 2 - 3