Avalanche Forecast

Moderate - Uncertainty is due to the fact that persistent slabs are particularly difficult to forecast.

Thursday Night: Mainly cloudy with clear periods, light to moderate south wind, alpine high -6.

Friday: Mainly cloudy with sunny breaks and isolated flurries, moderate south wind, alpine high -4, freezing level 700 m.

Saturday: Isolated flurries, moderate southwest wind, alpine high -5, freezing level 600 m.

Sunday: Flurries, light southwest wind, alpine high -5.

Reports on Wednesday and Thursday indicate several explosives triggered size 2 storm slab avalanches on northerly and southerly aspects at treeline and in the alpine. There was also a report of a size 2 storm slab avalanche that was triggered by another smaller avalanche running nearby. This was at 1950 m on a northeast aspect. As well on Thursday there was a report of 3 explosives triggered size 2.5-3 persistent slab avalanches on north through southwest aspects at 2100 m.

On Tuesday there was a report of a naturally triggered size 2.5-3 wind slab avalanche which stepped down mid-path to the early December persistent weak layer. This was on an east aspect near ridgetop and occurred in the central part of the region. As well there were reports of several explosives controlled size 2 storm snow avalanches in Kootenay Pass on southerly aspects between 1800 and 2100 m.

A remotely triggered (from a distance) size 2 persistent slab avalanche was reported near Rossland on Sunday. The details can be seen in MIN posts here and here.

40-70 cm of recent storm snow accumulating over the past week has seen wind affect at upper elevations. In sheltered areas, the recent snow may sit over surface hoar.

Two weak layers are buried in close proximity to one another. They are 70-100 cm deep around Nelson and 50-80 cm deep around Rossland and other western parts of the region. The layers are composed of feathery surface hoar and sugary faceted grains and they overlie a hard melt-freeze crust. 

• Continue to make conservative terrain choices while the storm snow settles and stabilizes.
• Be especially cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.
• Be aware of the potential for large avalanches due to the presence of buried persistent weak layers.
• If triggered, wind slabs avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.