Avalanche Forecast

Moderate - Due to the number of field observations

Mostly cloudy conditions are expected for Tuesday with sunny breaks and light isolated flurries both possible. Afternoon freezing levels are expected to be around 1300m and alpine winds are forecast to be light from the southwest. A mix of sun and cloud is expected on Wednesday with afternoon freezing levels around 1500m and light alpine wind. A storm system is currently forecast to bring 20-30mm of precipitation to the region Wednesday overnight and Thursday with freezing levels climbing to around 2000m.

On Sunday, natural and human-triggered storm slab avalanches up to size 2 were reported, as well as loose wet avalanches below around 2000m. Several natural storm slabs failed on the late-February weak layer. These were above 2100m and were primarily on northwest through east aspects. A skier triggered a size 1.5 slab on a convexity on a northwest aspect at 1950m which failed on the late-Feb layer down 30-50cm. A skier kicked a cornice which triggered a size 2 slab on a northeast aspect at 2200m which also failed on the late-Feb layer down 40-70cm.

A widespread rain crust is expected to extend into the alpine.  The late-February surface hoar layer is now typically down 40-70cm and may still be reactive.  This surface hoar layer was widespread above 1700m except on south aspects where the interface was cooked by the sun and now exists as a buried sun crust. Significant wind transport has been noted so expect to find winds slabs in exposed lee terrain at higher elevations. 80-100cm below the surface you will likely find the mid-February crust/facet/surface hoar layer but this layer is now considered inactive.