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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Mar 10th, 2024–Mar 11th, 2024
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable

Choose conservative, low consequence terrain.

Rider and remote triggering of large avalanches are an ongoing concern.

Confidence

High

Avalanche Summary

Wind and persistent slab avalanches up to size 2.5 have been reported throughout the region over the past couple days. A variety of triggers have been reported including natural, skier, remote and cornice. The largest avalanches released on the early February crust which remains a concern for rider and remote triggering.

Snowpack Summary

Strong winds have formed wind slab on northerly aspects and scoured south facing terrain above treeline. The snow surface will likely become moist at lower elevations.

Two layers of surface hoar and sun crust can be found in the top meter of the snowpack. One from late February and the other from early March.

A thick and hard widespread crust that formed in early February is buried about 80 to 150 cm deep. This crust has a layer of facets above it in many areas.

The snowpack below this crust is generally not concerning except in shallow alpine terrain.

Weather Summary

Sunday Night

Cloudy with 5 to 15 cm of new snow. 20 to 40 km/h south alpine wind. Treeline temperature -6°C.

Monday

Mostly cloudy with 5 to 10 cm of new snow. 15 to 35 km/h south alpine wind. Freezing level rising to 1600 m.

Tuesday

Mostly cloudy with 5 to 10 cm of  new snow. 10 to 30 km/h south alpine wind. Freezing level up to 1700 m.

Wednesday

Mostly A mix of sun and cloud with trace amounts of new snow. 10 to 20 km/h west alpine wind. Treeline temperature -2°C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Conservative terrain selection is critical, choose only well supported, low consequence lines.
  • Remote triggering is a concern, watch out for adjacent and overhead slopes.
  • Be aware of the potential for surprisingly large avalanches due to deeply buried weak layers.
  • Storm slabs in motion may step down to deeply buried weak layers resulting in very large avalanches.
  • Back off slopes as the surface becomes moist or wet with rising temperatures.

Avalanche Problems

Persistent Slabs

A weak layer of faceted grains above a crust buried 70 to 140 cm deep is a recipe for large, high-consequence avalanches. Remote triggering is an ongoing concern and means the layer is still primed for human triggering.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 3

Storm Slabs

Storm slabs may release on weak layers from late Febuary and early March resulting in larger avalanches. There is also concern for these avalanches stepping all the way down to the early Febuary layer.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Likely - Very Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2