Avalanche Forecast
Regions: Kootenay Boundary.
Confidence
High -
Weather Forecast
Friday: Cloudy with sunny periods. Alpine temperatures near -11 and freezing levels dropping to valley bottom. Ridgetop winds light from the northeast.Saturday: Sunny. Alpine temperatures near -10 and freezing levels valley bottom. Light winds from the west.Sunday: A mix of sun and cloud. Alpine temperatures -7 and freezing levels rising to 800 m.
Avalanche Summary
On Thursday, avalanche control using explosives triggered numerous loose wet avalanches up to size 2 and a significant size 3 storm slab avalanche. These were reported from SE-SW slopes above 1900 m. The snowpack is complex, it requires patience and discipline. Natural avalanche activity may spike with the first hit of sun then start to taper off through the weekend, slopes will remain primed for human triggers.
Snowpack Summary
Recent snow accumulations vary showing 10-30 cm across the region adding more load and stress to the upper snowpack. This now brings 90-140 cm of settled snow over two surface hoar/ crust layers that were formed early to mid-January. Digging deeper 160-200 cm sits the mid-December surface hoar layer and near the base of the snowpack exists a crust/ facet interface which could be triggered by a large load like a step down avalanche or cornice failure.These persistent weak layers lurk within the snowpack and continue to be reactive, producing large and destructive avalanches. The snowpack is extremely complex and requires respect and diligence at this time.
Avalanche Problems
Storm Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood: Likely - Very Likely
Expected Size: 1 - 3
Persistent Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood: Possible - Likely
Expected Size: 2 - 4