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Avalanche Forecast

Mar 10th, 2021–Mar 11th, 2021
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: South Rockies.

Buried weak layers remain possible to be triggered, where they still exist. Be cautious on sun-exposed slopes and around cornices during the heat of the day.

Confidence

High -

Weather Forecast

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with snowfall, accumulation 2 to 5 cm, 10 to 20 km/h west wind, alpine temperature -9 C.

THURSDAY: Clear skies, 20 km/h west wind, alpine temperature -5 C, freezing level rising to 1600 m.

FRIDAY: Clear skies, 10 km/h northwest wind, alpine temperature -1 C, freezing level rising to 2000 m.

SATURDAY: Clear skies, 10 km/h south wind, alpine temperature 2 C, freezing level 2600 m.

Avalanche Summary

New new avalanches were reported for the area on Wednesday.

Snowpack Summary

A dusting of snow overlies a thick melt-freeze crust in many areas, with the exception being on north aspects above around 1700 m. Old wind slabs may exist on northerly aspects at alpine and treeline elevations, whereas windward slopes have been scoured to rocks or a hard crust. On solar aspects and below the freezing level, the snow may moisten during the heat of the day. Cornices may also weaken over the day.

Around 30 to 60 cm of snow sits above a persistent weak layer of sugary faceted grains that was buried in mid-February. There have been a handful of avalanches that released on this layer in the past few weeks. There is another persistent weak layer that was buried at the end of January, found around 50 to 80 cm deep. This layer consists of feathery surface hoar, facets, and/or a hard melt-freeze crust. Periodic avalanches continue to be triggered on these layers by riders, particularly where a stiff wind slab sits above them. Check out this MIN that shows the positioning of the layers in the snowpack near Crowsnest Pass.

Weak faceted snow and a decomposing melt-freeze crust can be found near the base of the snowpack. 

Terrain and Travel

  • Be aware of the potential for large avalanches due to the presence of a persistent slab.
  • Pay attention to cornices and give them a wide berth when traveling on or below ridges.
  • Be careful with wind loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.
  • When a thick, melt-freeze surface crust is present, avalanche activity is unlikely.

Avalanche Problems

Persistent Slabs

Two persistent weak layers exist in the snowpack that could be triggered by riders:

  • The upper layer is buried 30 to 60 cm and primarily consists of weak faceted grains.
  • The deeper layer is buried 60 to 100 cm and consists of surface hoar, faceted grains, and/or a hard crust.

The most likely areas to trigger these layers is where a hard wind slab exists above the layers and where the snowpack is not capped by a thick melt-freeze crust.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1.5 - 2.5