Avalanche Forecast

Overnight freezing level at 3500 metres under clear skies with light southwest winds. Clear and sunny on Tuesday with light southwest winds and freezing levels at 3500 metres. Clear and sunny on Wednesday with light winds and freezing level at 3500 metres. Some uncertainty regarding when the ridge of high pressure will break down; at this time about 50-50 chance of sun or cloud on Thursday. Freezing levels will start to drop after the ridge breaks down and moves eastward.

No new avalanches reported, but we have very few eyes and ears still in the mountains reporting. Most commercial operations in the region have finished their season and data is becoming sparse.

Cornices remain a concern, in part because of the potential to trigger wet slab avalanches that run to valley bottoms. Monitoring the overnight freeze of the snow surface is very important. If the snow surface does not freeze overnight or if the crust is only a few cm thick, the effect of daytime heating and solar radiation will weaken the snowpack much more quickly than it would if there is a well frozen thick crust. This is because the crust must first melt before the sun can weaken the snowpack. With the warmest weather this year forecast, layers in the mid snowpack and near the ground have the potential to wake up and become active. While isolated and unlikely, avalanches would be very large. Glide cracks are widespread, active, and best avoided. Low elevation and thin snowpack areas have become isothermal, meaning the snowpack is 0 degrees Celsius throughout. An isothermal snowpack is more prone to full depth wet slab avalanches during the heat of the day, especially on steep, rocky faces.