Avalanche Forecast

Fair - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain

The first frontal system will cross the south coast Thursday night and Friday morning. There is some uncertainty regarding the timing but the second system is expected on Saturday and should persist through Sunday.Thurs. Night/Friday: Snow 15-20cm, freezing level am: 1000m pm: 1500m, ridgetop wind light SW-WSaturday: Moderate-heavy snowfall, freezing level am: 800m pm: 1200-1500m, ridgetop wind 20-40 km/h S-SWSunday: Light-moderate snowfall, freezing level am: 1200-1500m pm: 1000m, ridgetop wind 30-50 km/h SW

No new avalanches have been reported. Loose wet sluffing has been reported form steep solar aspects during the heat of the day.

The storm snow from last weekend has settled rapidly and is bonding well with the snow below. There are two persistent weak layers which remain a concern but the problem is becoming isolated. The early-March crust/facet layer is down roughly 1m and the early-Feb layer is down 1.5m or more. These layers are typically deep enough that human-triggering is unlikely but smaller avalanches or cornices have the potential to step down to these layers. Strong SW winds during the storm created widespread wind slabs on lee features in the alpine. These are breaking down and getting harder to trigger but may still pose a threat in some areas.Freezing levels have been cycling between valley bottom and 1500-2000m, and low elevation terrain saw significant rain last weekend. The snowpack at lower elevations is generally stable but it may be possible to trigger loose wet activity from steep terrain during the heat of the day. On the surface, a well developed sun crust has formed on solar aspects. Surface hoar has formed and is most prominent in sheltered areas and on north aspects. At lower elevations, a crust can be expected in most areas.