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Avalanche Forecast

Dec 3rd, 2013–Dec 4th, 2013
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Sea To Sky.

Confidence

Fair - Wind effect is extremely variable

Weather Forecast

Cold and mostly clear skies are expected for the forecast period as a dry arctic air mass becomes firmly embedded over British Columbia. Ridgetop temperatures are expected to hover around -14 on Wednesday and Thursday, and then drop to about -20 on Friday. Expect periods of moderate north/northeasterly winds.

Avalanche Summary

Avalanche control in the region produced soft slabs to size 1.5 at higher elevations which formed in response to snowfall and wind on Sunday night. A skier-triggered size1 windslab was also reported close to Mt Brew in the Callaghan area. I would suspect ongoing windslab activity with the current wind speed and direction.

Snowpack Summary

Snow depths are highly variable throughout the region although reports suggest there is an average of about 120cm of snow at upper treeline elevations. Terrain below treeline is reported to be mostly below threshold for avalanche activity.The 25-45cm of snow that fell on the weekend is likely bonding well to old surfaces, but has been redistributed by strong northerly winds. This reverse loading pattern has created new windslabs on south-facing terrain.A few crusts can be found deeper in the snowpack which may have associated facets at higher elevations. Observers are not identifying any of these as cause for concern at this time, although they might be worth exploring.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Due to strong northerly winds, expect to find pockets of new windslab on south-facing terrain.
Avoid travelling in areas that have been reverse loaded by winds.>Stay off recent wind loaded areas until the slope has had a chance to stabilize.>

Aspects: North, North East, East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2