Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 28th, 2024 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Storm Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada wlewis, Avalanche Canada

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Keep decision making conservative in the wake of the storm. New snow is expected to remain reactive to human triggers.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Observations remain limited however, natural avalanche activity is expected to continue with more wind and snow.

Snowpack Summary

Storm totals will vary from 50 cm to over 1 m in the west by Thursday afternoon. Storm snow continues to build over a widespread crust in most areas, except northern areas where storm snow will fall on heavily wind-affected snow.

The mid and lower snowpack is generally well consolidated. A layer of facets exists between two crusts in the mid snowpack, we are uncertain how this layer will react to new storm snow. This layer is most likely triggered by large loads such as step down avalanches.

Below treeline areas have now received enough snow to produce avalanches. Watch for 'early' season hazard of stumps, creeks and rocks.

Weather Summary

Wednesday Night

Snowfall rates ease with 10-20 cm expected in western areas. 30-50 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Freezing levels drop to 500 m.

Thursday

Mostly cloudy. 10-20 cm of snow. 20-40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -3 °C. Freezing level 800 m.

Friday

A mix of sun and cloud. 5-20 cm of snow. 20-40 km/h southerly ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -4 °C. Freezing level 600 m.

Saturday

A mix of sun and cloud. Isolated flurries possible. 20-40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -3 °C. Freezing level 800 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Don't be too cavalier with decision making, storm slabs may remain sensitive to human triggering.
  • Storm snow and wind is forming touchy slabs. Use caution in lee areas in the alpine and treeline.
  • Make observations and assess conditions continually as you travel.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs

Storm slabs will be most reactive in wind affected features, especially where new snow sits over a crust.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Likely - Very Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2.5

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

A weak layer of facets above a crust persists in the snowpack in isolated areas like shallow north facing alpine slopes. Storm slab avalanches may step down to this layer resulting in very large, destructive avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

2 - 3

Valid until: Feb 29th, 2024 4:00PM

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