Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Mar 13th, 2022 4:00PM
The alpine rating is Storm Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeFreshly formed storm slabs will likely be reactive to human triggers on Monday; especially in wind affected terrain.
Riders may be surprised by widely propagating avalanches at treeline and below where storm slabs are sitting on a weak layer of surface hoar.
Summary
Confidence
Moderate - Uncertainty is due to the limited number of field observations.
Weather Forecast
SUNDAY NIGHT: Snow; 5-15 cm / Moderate southwest winds / Low of -3 / Freezing level 700 m.
MONDAY: Snow (above around 1300 m); 5-10 cm, and another 5-10 cm overnight / Moderate southwest wind / High of 1 / Freezing level 1600 m.
TUESDAY: Mix of sun and cloud with isolated flurries; 3-5 cm / Light southwest wind / High of 1 / Freezing level 1500 m.
WEDNESDAY: Mix of sun and cloud with isolated flurries; 0-3 cm / Light west wind / High of -1 / Freezing level 1400 m.
Avalanche Summary
Numerous naturally triggered storm slab avalanches up to size 2 were reported at treeline and above on Saturday. They occurred primarily on wind-loaded north-east aspects.
Riders may get surprised by widely propagating storm slabs that are sitting on a weak layer of surface hoar at treeline and below.
Snowpack Summary
15-30 cm of recent snow and moderate southwest winds formed fresh storm slabs that have been most reactive in wind affected terrain; especially where slabs are sitting on a weak layer of surface hoar or a sun crust.
The 15-30 cm of recent snow is sitting on a variety of surfaces including hard wind affected snow, sun crusts on southerly slopes, and surface hoar on shady or sheltered slopes.Â
The lower snowpack is generally well-settled and strong in most areas, with prominent crust layers 50 to 100 cm deep. No recent persistent slab avalanches have been reported on these layers.
Terrain and Travel
- Potential for wide propagation exists, fresh slabs may rest on surface hoar, facets and/or crust.
- Carefully assess open slopes and convex rolls where buried surface hoar may be preserved.
- Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
- Avoid freshly wind loaded features, especially near ridge crests, roll-overs and in steep terrain.
- Continue to make conservative terrain choices while the storm snow settles and stabilizes.
Problems
Storm Slabs
15-30 cm of recent snow and moderate southwest winds formed fresh storm slabs that have been most reactive in wind affected terrain; especially where slabs are sitting on a weak layer of surface hoar or a sun crust.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Mar 14th, 2022 4:00PM