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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 5th, 2023–Feb 6th, 2023

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Northwest Inland, Kispiox, Microwave-Sinclair, Ningunsaw, South Bulkley, South Bulkley, Telkwa.

Updated on Monday at 6:25 AM: Forecast snowfall amounts for Monday have increased. New snow and wind will create dangerous conditions, especially around wind-loaded slopes.

Confidence

Low

Avalanche Summary

On Friday a natural avalanche cycle up to size 3 took place in the south west corner of the forecast region. These avalanches failed on the late January crust.

If you are out in the backcountry please consider filling out a Mountain Information Network report.

Snowpack Summary

Ongoing snowfall and southwest winds have accumulated around 40 cm of storm snow that is being blown into wind slabs. This all sits on a crust from the warming event on January 25th. New snow likely will not bond well to this crust.

The mid and lower snowpack continues to bond and stabilize. A few concerning weak layers can still be found in the top meter of the snowpack including a surface hoar layer from early January and a crust from late December.

Weather Summary

Sunday

Flurries bringing trace amounts of new snow. Strong southwest winds and temperatures at 1500m around -1.

Monday

Increasing cloud throughout the day with 10 to 25 cm of new snow expected. Strong southwest winds and freezing levels rising to 1700m.

Tuesday

Mostly cloudy with flurries bringing up to 5cm of new snow. Light southerly winds and freezing levels falling to valley bottom.

Wednesday

A mix of sun and cloud with no new snow expected. Light to moderate southwest winds and a high of -6 at 1500m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Watch for changing conditions today, storm slabs may become increasingly reactive.
  • Dial back your terrain choices if you are seeing more than 20 cm of new snow.
  • Watch for signs of instability like whumpfing, hollow sounds, shooting cracks or recent avalanches.
  • Avoid steep, rocky, and wind effected areas where triggering slabs is more likely.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.