Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Apr 21st, 2018–Apr 22nd, 2018

Alpine

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate

Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate

Below Treeline

1: Low

The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Alpine

3: Considerable

The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable

Treeline

3: Considerable

The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable

Below Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Alpine

3: Considerable

The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable

Treeline

3: Considerable

The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable

Below Treeline

3: Considerable

The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable

Regions: Lizard-Flathead.

When the sun comes out it will quickly weaken the new snow and cause loose wet avalanches on steep solar slopes.

Confidence

Low - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

SUNDAY: Mix of sun and cloud. Light west wind. Alpine temperature +2. Freezing level 2100 m.MONDAY: Sunny. Light southeast wind. Alpine temperature +3. Freezing level rising to 2500 m.TUESDAY: Sunny. Light southwest wind. Alpine temperature +10. Freezing level rapidly rising to 3200 m.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches were reported in this region. Avalanche reports have been limited due to very few information sources this time of year. If you have been out, please post your observations on the Mountain Information Network (MIN).

Snowpack Summary

Cornices are large and looming. Flurries and strong westerly winds may have formed small wind slabs at treeline and above. Below the surface there are numerous crusts in the upper 100 cm of the snowpack. The mid-pack is generally well settled and strong.A layer of sugary facets around a crust can be found near the bottom of the snowpack which has been dormant for some time. Large triggers, such as a falling cornice, or a major warm-up to the snowpack could trigger this layer.

Avalanche Problems

Loose Wet

When the sun comes out it will quickly weaken the new snow and cause loose wet avalanches on steep solar slopes.

Avoid exposure to terrain traps where the consequences of a small avalanche could be serious.Watch for signs that the snow is heating up such as pin-wheeling or the surface snow becoming moist.Minimize exposure to sun exposed slopes when the solar radiation is strong.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Cornices

Sunshine and warming temperatures will increase the likelihood of cornice fall.

Falling cornices may trigger persistent weak layers deeper in the snowpack.Cornices become weak with daytime heating. Give them a wide berth both from above and below.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2.5

Wind Slabs

Flurries on Saturday may have formed small wind slabs on lee features at treeline and above.

Avoid areas that look freshly loaded with snow; especially convex features below ridgetops.Use caution when transitioning into wind affected terrain.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 1.5