Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Jan 24th, 2019 4:00PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Deep Persistent Slabs and Wind Slabs.

stephen holeczi, Parks Canada

Banff Yoho Kootenay.

Thin areas will be the most susceptible to triggering the weaker basal facets/ depth hoar. This problem is now hard to predict, and comes down to your level of comfort with the uncertainty combined with the type of terrain you choose.

Summary

Weather Forecast

A general warming trend over the next 2 days with alpine temperatures starting at -10C rising to -5C by Saturday. West winds will also increase on Saturday. No major snow is in the the forecast.

Snowpack Summary

10-20cm of snow over the last few days. Thin wind slabs can be found in alpine lee areas from strong SW winds on Saturday. Of greatest concern are the weak facets and depth hoar at the base of the snowpack. In thinner snowpack areas with less than 150 cm of snow, triggering a slab on these facets is more likely.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches reported or observed.

Confidence

Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

The weak Oct.26 facets and depth hoar at the base of the snowpack have a significant slab (50-130cm thick) sitting above them. The likelihood of triggering this layer has decreased, but if it does get triggered, the avalanche will be large in size.

Avoid thin, rocky or unsupported slopes.Be aware of the potential for full depth avalanches due to weak layers at the base of the snowpack.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1.5 - 3

Wind Slabs

Thin wind slabs are stubborn but still show potential for triggering in the alpine. Increased winds on Thursday may add to their development. These will not be a long term problem.

If triggered the wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.

Aspects: North, North East, East.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

1 - 1.5

Valid until: Jan 25th, 2019 4:00PM