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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 22nd, 2017–Jan 23rd, 2017
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
While avalanche activity following the recent storm may be diminishing to warrant lower danger ratings: Keep your guard up! This snowpack does not inspire confidence and warrants careful decision making and route selection.

Weather Forecast

A bit more cloud with a chance of trace amounts of precip for Monday before skies clear. Cold nights will be the price to pay for sunny afternoons with maybe some light winds reaching -5 C at valley bottom elevations. Watch for the sun to create moist snow on steep SW slopes given these conditions.

Snowpack Summary

The snowpack is quite localized. 10-40 cm of storm snow (often windslab) rests on weak facets. Deeper layers of weak facets and depth hoar are common. A supportive midpack can be found, but it is often friable and may contribute to deeper failures. Lower elevations have unsupportive bottomless facets!

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches were reported today.

Confidence

Avalanche Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

The midpack in most areas is weak and facetted. Any slab sitting overtop of this weakness should be considered suspect and there is a high level of uncertainty and variability concerning this layer.
Be aware of thin areas that may propogate to deeper instabilites.Carefully evaluate terrain features by digging and testing on adjacent, safe slopes.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 3

Wind Slabs

Recent winds ranging from East to SW have created some new windslabs in alpine and treeline features. In some cases, these have been observed to provide enough weight to step down to the deep persistent layer, causing a larger avalanche.
If triggered the wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South, South West, West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2