Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Dec 3rd, 2014 4:00PM
The alpine rating is Deep Persistent Slabs and Wind Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeHuman triggered avalanches are still likely due to the instability of recent storm snow sitting over the basal rain crust/facets. This will not change in the short term. SH
Summary
Weather Forecast
A warming trend Thursday with daytime highs in the -5 to -10 range. No snow is expected on Thursday, and light snow amounts of 5-10cm are forecast for Friday and Saturday. Light to moderate SW winds for the next few days.
Snowpack Summary
Recent storm snow has settled into a soft slab and has significant wind affect in open terrain at treeline and above. The lower half of the snowpack is complex and poorly structured & comprised of the facets (Nov 24th) at the interface of the recent storm snow and a series of thin crusts (Nov 6th) and depth hoar at or slightly above the ground.
Avalanche Summary
No new activity reported, but a natural 2.5 in the Sunshine backcountry yesterday triggered by wind loading shows large natural avalanches are still possible at higher elevations.
Confidence
Due to the number of field observations on Thursday
Problems
Deep Persistent Slabs
The primary problem in the snowpack is the interface between the recent storm snow and the November 6th and 24th facet/crust interfaces. This is the problem responsible for the majority of the avalanches in the past week. Watch for remote triggers.
Watch for whumpfing, hollow sounds, and shooting cracks.Use conservative route selection, choose moderate angled and supported terrain with low consequence.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Wind Slabs
Many places have been ravaged by winds from many directions, especially in the alpine. Watch for pockets of hard slab near ridge tops and cross loaded features..
Watch for whumpfing, hollow sounds, and shooting cracks.Be careful with wind loaded pockets while approaching and climbing ice routes.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Dec 4th, 2014 4:00PM