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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Nov 15th, 2019–Nov 16th, 2019
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Skier accidental in the Louise region today, see avalanche summary for details.

At this point, we are uncertain about the incoming snow and wind Sunday. Stay tuned!

Weather Forecast

Saturday - light flurries and slightly cooler temperatures than Friday should help to improve the hazard slightly.

Sunday - models range from 10-30 cm predicted with Moderate to strong SW winds along the Divide and West. If we see large accumulations, expect the hazard to rise on Sunday.

Snowpack Summary

10-20 cm of settled snow sits on the Nov 8 crust and a variety of old wind slabs in the alpine. Faceting observed around the Oct crust and at the ground showing easy sudden collapses & propagation propensity in deeper snowpacks around Louise (90 cm). Treeline snow depths range from 50-80 cm, and up to 110 cm wind loaded pockets in the alpine.

Avalanche Summary

A skier accidental size 2 slide failed on facets on the ground on a convex feature in Pipestone Bowl, near the Lake Louise Ski area. Size 1.5 natural on basal facets NE aspect at 2400 m, base of Whitehorn gullies. No other

Confidence

Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Sunday

Avalanche Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

Reactive today in the Louise area (see avalanche summary) on basal facets and the October crust. Pending on the intensity of the incoming system on Sunday, we expect this layer to become more active.

  • Convex features and steep unsupported slopes will be most prone to triggering.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Wind Slabs

Watch for wind slabs in lee areas in the alpine.

  • Be careful with wind loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.
  • Use caution in lee areas. Wind loading could create slabs.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 1.5