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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Dec 7th, 2017–Dec 8th, 2017
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Be aware that a strong alpine temperature inversion has created warm conditions in alpine start zones. With uncertainty over the October 31 layer lingering: Ice climbers and skiers alike should carefully consider their exposure to overhead terrain.

Weather Forecast

A ridge of high pressure will continue to dominate the weather through Saturday with  clear skies, light winds (although higher in east - west valleys), and a strong alpine temperature inversion. As the inversion established itself Thursday afternoon , temperatures reached 3C at 3000m while 2000m temps only reached -7C.

Snowpack Summary

Suncrusts are developing on steep south slopes with a temperature inversion. Surface hoar up to size 10 has formed. Below 2500m, 30 -50 cm of snow lies over the Nov 27th and Nov 23rd crusts. Both of these now overly the Halloween crust/ facet layer that sits 30-50cm above the ground. This lower layer is a facet layer above 2500m and a crust below.

Avalanche Summary

No avalanches were observed or reported at the time of writing although temperatures have spiked to over 3 degrees C at 3000m due to a strong temperature inversion.

Confidence

Freezing levels are uncertain

Avalanche Problems

Persistent Slabs

Natural avalanche activity has tapered however, shallow alpine areas warrant caution. Uncertainty around the Oct 31 layer remains especially with the temperature inversion changing conditions at upper elevations. Be wary of warming in start zones.
Use conservative route selection, choose moderate angled and supported terrain with low consequence.Be alert to conditions that change with elevation.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 3

Wind Slabs

Recent moderate to strong winds have created variable windslabs in exposed alpine areas along the divide. These may become more sensitive to triggering with warmer temperatures.
Watch for surface cracking and stiffer surface layers of snow. Avoid wind loaded terrain.Use caution in lee areas. Recent wind loading has created wind slabs.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2