Avalanche Forecast

Low - Due to the number of field observations

A strengthening storm system is expected to make a big impact on the coast this weekend, but very little of that system is expected to spill into the Southern Rockies. SATURDAY: Freezing level at valley bottom. Trace of snow possible. Moderate W/SW winds. SUNDAY: No new snow expected, freezing level at valley bottom, strong SW winds. MONDAY: Trace to 2cm of snow possible, freezing level at valley bottom, strong SW winds.

Control work on Friday produced 5 to 10cm thick wind slabs that ran as large as size 1.5 in isolated terrain features. No other activity to report.

The series of recent storms has left us with around 40-60 cm new snow sitting on a firm rain crust. For the most part, the new snow has bonded well to this rain crust, although potentially unstable wind slabs could exist where wind-pressed snow rests directly on a slippery crust below. A previous weak layer from early December consists of crust, surface hoar, and/or facets and is typically down 70-90cm. Around 20-30cm below this interface is a rain crust from mid-Nov with a thick layer of facets below it. Both the early-Dec and mid-Nov layers have become dormant and are likely being capped at treeline and below by the more recent rain crust layer. However, these layers may still be reactive to heavy triggers such as cornices or smaller avalanches stepping down.