Avalanche Forecast
Regions: South Rockies.
Confidence
Moderate - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain
Weather Forecast
THURSDAY: Cloudy with light afternoon flurries (5-10 cm), strong southwest wind, freezing level around 2200 m.FRIDAY: Wet flurries increasing overnight (3-6 cm), moderate southwest wind, freezing around 2200 m.SATURDAY: Clearing throughout the day, strong southwest wind, freezing level dropping to 1500 m.
Avalanche Summary
On Wednesday, explosive control produced two small wind slabs in steep alpine terrain in the southeast part of the region. Numerous small loose wet avalanches were observed on steep solar aspects on Tuesday. Increasing wind speeds could build fresh wind slabs and warming may irritate cornices.
Snowpack Summary
The snowpack has entered a daily melt-freeze cycle. Hard crusts form overnight and become moist surface snow during the heat of the day. The exception is north-facing alpine terrain, where about 20 cm of recent dry snow and isolated wind slabs may exist. The bottom third of the snowpack is composed of weak facets, but this deep persistent weakness has not been reactive for a few weeks.
Avalanche Problems
Wind Slabs
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.
Elevations: Alpine.
Likelihood: Possible
Expected Size: 1 - 2
Cornices
Aspects: North, North East, East.
Elevations: Alpine.
Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible
Expected Size: 2 - 2