Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Nov 25th, 2015 8:28AM

The alpine rating is below threshold, the treeline rating is below threshold, and the below treeline rating is below threshold. Known problems include Wind Slabs.

Avalanche Canada rbuhler, Avalanche Canada

It's early in the season but there is more than enough snow for avalanches. Wind slabs have recently formed in exposed terrain at higher elevations.  If you are out in the mountains, please share your observations with us.

Summary

Confidence

Poor - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

The cold and dry Arctic air persists on Thursday. Freezing levels should stay below valley bottom and alpine winds should be light from NE. On Friday afternoon, a layer of warm air aloft should reach the region. Above freezing temperatures should develop around 2000m while the valleys remain cold. Valley fog may develop on Friday and should definitely be in place by Saturday. Dry and sunny conditions are expected to persist through the weekend.

Avalanche Summary

On Wednesday, ski cutting and explosives triggered several wind slab avalanches up to size 1.5.  The avalanches are sliding on a firm rain crust from mid-November.  Slabs were typically 5-15cm thick and were reported on a variety of aspects.  These types of wind slabs may persist for a few days until temperatures warm up at higher elevations. 

Snowpack Summary

10-20cm of new snowfall overlies a highly variable surface which may include surface hoar and/or facetted snow, a thick rain crust which exists to at least treeline elevation, a sun crust on steep south facing slopes, or wind-affected snow in exposed alpine terrain. At treeline elevations, the snowpack appears to typically be 1-1.5m deep. There is a thick crust from early-November in the middle of the snowpack. The limited reports we have received suggest that this crust is well bonded but you should investigate the snowpack in your local area before committing yourself to avalanche terrain. Wind slabs exist on a variety of aspects due to shifting winds may persist for a few days while temperatures remain cold.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
Thin wind slabs formed during the recent storm. Winds shifted from SW to NE so expect wind slabs on a variety of aspects.
Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain. >Use ridges or ribs to avoid pockets of wind loaded snow.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Nov 26th, 2015 2:00PM

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