Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 3rd, 2014 9:07AM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Wind Slabs.

Avalanche Canada jlammers, Avalanche Canada

Summary

Confidence

Fair - Wind effect is extremely variable

Weather Forecast

Generally clear conditions are expected for the forecast period. Winds are forecast to be mainly moderate from the northeast. Alpine temperatures should hover between -20 and -25 for Tuesday and Wednesday with some very slight warming on Thursday.

Avalanche Summary

On Monday whumphing, shooting cracks and size 1 wind slab avalanches were observed at all elevation bands in the Kootenay Pass area.

Snowpack Summary

About 25cm of low density snow now overlies well developed surface hoar which exists on most aspects, and in some cases, well into the alpine. Below this you'll likely find about 10cm of faceted snow over older surface hoar and old, unreactive wind slabs. A melt-freeze crust is now buried on most slopes that saw direct sun last week.Reports indicate the low density surface snow has been wind-pressed or redistributed into wind slabs in many places. I'd expect touchy slab conditions due to the presence of buried surface hoar anywhere where there was significant wind effect.The recent prolonged warm temperatures have formed a strong and supportive midpack. Deeper persistent layers have become unlikely to trigger, although large and destructive avalanches are still possible in isolated terrain with the right input such as a cornice fall or a heavy load over a thin spot in steep terrain.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
Moderate to strong variable winds will add to a developing wind slab problem. Expect ongoing touchy conditions due to the presence of buried surface hoar.
The recently developed wind slabs will require several days to settle and stabilize.>Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.>Avoid travelling in areas that have been reverse loaded by winds.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 3

Valid until: Feb 4th, 2014 2:00PM