A problematic weakness in the snowpack still has local professionals on edge. The weight of a person could trigger a destructive avalanche. If you are unsure, stick to conservative terrain.
Summary
Confidence
Fair
Weather Forecast
Light amounts of precipitation are expected on Thursday night/ Friday. SW winds strengthen on Thursday, then switch to W-NW and ease on Friday. The freezing level hovers around 700m.
Avalanche Summary
Two large slabs were observed in the Nelson backcountry, which are suspected to have failed naturally in response to wind-loading over the last 1-3 days. One was a size 2.5 slab on a NW aspect at 2300m, while the other was a size 3 on an E aspect. The crowns were 120-150 cm deep. On Saturday, skiers triggered numerous persistent slab avalanches to size 2 in the north of the region, in some cases remotely from a distance of 10m. On Sunday, a couple of persistent slab avalanches in the size 2.5 range were triggered between 2100 and 2300m from a distance of up to 100m. Avalanche activity has slowed, but there is still the potential for human-triggering of large avalanches.
Snowpack Summary
Large surface hoar crystals are growing on the snow surface. New snow or new wind slabs are likely to bond poorly to this surface. Underneath this a thin frozen crust exists up to about 1900m. Our main concern continues to be a crust/surface hoar combo buried in mid-December. This touchy layer is 60-120cm down and has the potential to be triggered by people and produce surprisingly large avalanches. Operators are still tip-toeing around and treating this interface with suspicion. A facet/crust layer near the base of the snowpack has mostly been dormant, apart from recent activity in the Bonnington Range which suggests it may still be reactive in isolated terrain.
pgoddard,
Avalanche Canada
