Avalanche Forecast
Regions: Sea To Sky.
Confidence
Fair - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather is uncertain
Weather Forecast
Wednesday: Light precipitation. Freezing level around 2200 m, dropping to around 1700 m. Moderate southerly winds.Thursday: Light precipitation. Freezing level around 1200 m. Light southerly winds.Friday: Light precipitation, clearing by afternoon. Freezing level around 1200 m. Light variable winds.
Avalanche Summary
On Sunday, skiers triggered size 1-2 wind slabs on north-west and west aspects following overnight winds. Other recent observations include several loose-wet avalanches up to size 2 from steep solar aspects and wet slabs triggered by skiers below 1400 m. There has been some cornice fall and ice fall.
Snowpack Summary
A melt-freeze crust exists on solar aspects and at low elevations. In some areas, limited overnight cooling has kept surface snow from re-freezing, leaving it loose and cohesionless. Areas of wind slab formed with recent southerly or easterly winds. Dry settling or faceting snow can be found on high north aspects, now buried underneath these wind slabs. A predominately crusty weak interface from late March, now down 50-150cm, has become less likely to trigger, but remains a lingering concern.
Avalanche Problems
Wind Slabs
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.
Elevations: Alpine.
Likelihood: Possible
Expected Size: 1 - 3
Loose Wet
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible
Expected Size: 1 - 4
Persistent Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Unlikely
Expected Size: 2 - 7